Source authenticated

The ballisticity conjecture: directional transience implies ballisticity for random walks in iid uniformly elliptic environments

Theorem 1.1: for d≥2d\ge2, iid uniformly elliptic nearest-neighbour rows (no independence within a row needed) and a fixed unit ℓ\ell with P0(Aℓ)=1P_0(A_\ell)=1, there is a deterministic vv with v⋅ℓ>0v\cdot\ell>0 and Xn/n→vX_n/n\to v almost surely, so the walk is ballistic in direction ℓ\ell. For d≥3d\ge3 positive probability of AℓA_\ell suffices, the velocity is unique, and the directions with positive transience probability are exactly the open hemisphere {u:u⋅v>0}\{u:u\cdot v>0\}, with probability one there and zero elsewhere. Not shown: the strictly (not uniformly) elliptic case, non-iid environments, or central limit theorems and slowdown estimates.

Exact FrontierDelta

Prior state unknown→proved

Scope and record

Occurred: Sep 23, 2026

Delta type: SOURCE CLAIM

Assumptions: VibeMathed verification: lean-checked. Publication: announcement. AI contribution: ai-discovered. VibeMathed editorial classifications, scores, notes, relations, and dataset structure are CC BY 4.0. Source statements and linked content retain their own rights.

Canonical aliases: The ballisticity conjecture: directional transience implies ballisticity for random walks in iid uniformly elliptic environments · RWRE ballisticity conjecture

Confidence: Not scored

Registry verification: lean checked · announcement · candidate

Open the source record ↗

Attribution

VibeMathed
registry · event recorded by

Unreleased internal OpenAI model
model · ai model contributor · OpenAI

Artifacts and verifiers

Lean proof (OAI.DirectionalTransience.directional_transience_implies_ballisticity)

lean artifact · pending

Artifact ↗
Comparator statement: DirectionalBallisticity.lean

lean artifact · pending

Artifact ↗
Comparator statement: VelocityHemisphere.lean

lean artifact · pending

Artifact ↗

Compute record

No linked compute attempts recorded.

Lineage and corrections

The ballisticity conjecture: directional transience implies ballisticity for random walks in iid uniformly elliptic environments evidence for this event

VibeMathed record: The ballisticity conjecture: directional transience implies ballisticity for random walks in iid uniformly elliptic environments evidence for this event

This event attributed to Unreleased internal OpenAI model

Theorem 1.1: for d≥2d\ge2, iid uniformly elliptic nearest-neighbour rows (no independence within a row needed) and a fixed unit ℓ\ell with P0(Aℓ)=1P_0(A_\ell)=1, there is a deterministic vv with v⋅ℓ>0v\cdot\ell>0 and Xn/n→vX_n/n\to v almost surely, so the walk is ballistic in direction ℓ\ell. For d≥3d\ge3 positive probability of AℓA_\ell suffices, the velocity is unique, and the directions with positive transience probability are exactly the open hemisphere {u:u⋅v>0}\{u:u\cdot v>0\}, with probability one there and zero elsewhere. Not shown: the strictly (not uniformly) elliptic case, non-iid environments, or central limit theorems and slowdown estimates. parent of this event

Comparator statement: DirectionalBallisticity.lean evidence for this event

Lean proof (OAI.DirectionalTransience.directional_transience_implies_ballisticity) evidence for this event

The ballisticity conjecture: directional transience implies ballisticity for random walks in iid uniformly elliptic environments parent of this event

Fribergh-Kious, Local trapping for elliptic random walks in random environments (arXiv) evidence for this event

Comparator statement: VelocityHemisphere.lean evidence for this event

Act on this frontier

Verify, challenge, or extend the result.