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Optimal-order mixing of the Thorp shuffle on 2d2^d cards: is the mixing time O(log⁡n)O(\log n)?

Principal Theorem 1.1: for n=2dn=2^d, ∥qd∗1600d−Un∥TV→0\|q_d^{*1600d}-U_n\|_{TV}\to0 as d→∞d\to\infty, uniformly over initial decks, and ∥qd∗t−Un∥TV≥1−2tn/2/n!\|q_d^{*t}-U_n\|_{TV}\ge1-2^{tn/2}/n!, so tmix(d)≥2d−O(1)t_{mix}(d)\ge2d-O(1) and tmix(d)=Θ(d)t_{mix}(d)=\Theta(d). Companions give alternative proofs with other constants and the supporting Fourier and coordinate-sweep estimates. The constant 1600 is not claimed sharp; no cutoff or leading constant is determined, and the optimal-order question for general even deck sizes is explicitly not addressed.

Exact FrontierDelta

Prior state unknown→proved

Scope and record

Occurred: Sep 26, 2026

Delta type: SOURCE CLAIM

Assumptions: VibeMathed verification: lean-checked. Publication: announcement. AI contribution: ai-discovered. VibeMathed editorial classifications, scores, notes, relations, and dataset structure are CC BY 4.0. Source statements and linked content retain their own rights.

Canonical aliases: Optimal-order mixing of the Thorp shuffle on $2^d$ cards: is the mixing time $O(\log n)$? · Thorp shuffle mixing time

Confidence: Not scored

Registry verification: lean checked · announcement · candidate

Open the source record ↗

Attribution

VibeMathed
registry · event recorded by

Unreleased internal OpenAI model
model · ai model contributor · OpenAI

Artifacts and verifiers

Lean proof (OAI.ThorpResults.remaining_main)

lean artifact · pending

Artifact ↗

Compute record

No linked compute attempts recorded.

Lineage and corrections

This event attributed to Unreleased internal OpenAI model

Companion: Compatibility entropy and the spectrum of a Thorp sweep evidence for this event

Companion: Routing densities and representation contraction for Thorp sweeps evidence for this event

Companion: From partial permutation information to Fourier bounds evidence for this event

Companion: Conditional coordinate sweeps and analytic transfer evidence for this event

Lean proof (OAI.ThorpResults.remaining_main) evidence for this event

Companion: Signed tensor densities and diagram budgets for the Thorp shuffle evidence for this event

Companion: Row-column symmetry and contraction of coordinate sweeps evidence for this event

Principal Theorem 1.1: for n=2dn=2^d, ∥qd∗1600d−Un∥TV→0\|q_d^{*1600d}-U_n\|_{TV}\to0 as d→∞d\to\infty, uniformly over initial decks, and ∥qd∗t−Un∥TV≥1−2tn/2/n!\|q_d^{*t}-U_n\|_{TV}\ge1-2^{tn/2}/n!, so tmix(d)≥2d−O(1)t_{mix}(d)\ge2d-O(1) and tmix(d)=Θ(d)t_{mix}(d)=\Theta(d). Companions give alternative proofs with other constants and the supporting Fourier and coordinate-sweep estimates. The constant 1600 is not claimed sharp; no cutoff or leading constant is determined, and the optimal-order question for general even deck sizes is explicitly not addressed. parent of this event

Optimal-order mixing of the Thorp shuffle on 2d2^d cards: is the mixing time O(log⁡n)O(\log n)? evidence for this event

VibeMathed record: Optimal-order mixing of the Thorp shuffle on 2d2^d cards: is the mixing time O(log⁡n)O(\log n)? evidence for this event

Companion: Conditional permutations in a revealed switching environment evidence for this event

Optimal-order mixing of the Thorp shuffle on 2d2^d cards: is the mixing time O(log⁡n)O(\log n)? parent of this event

Companion: Random coordinate frames and partial permutation laws evidence for this event

Companion: Conditional information under deterministic coordinate sweeps evidence for this event

Companion: Random-subspace tests and trace smoothing for coordinate sweeps evidence for this event

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