Rates of Convergence in the Central Limit Theorem for Markov Chains, with an Application to TD Learning

Source abstract

We prove a nonasymptotic central limit theorem (CLT) for vector-valued martingale differences using Stein’s method, and we use Poisson’s equation to extend the result to functions of Markov chains. We then show that these results can be applied to establish a nonasymptotic CLT for temporal difference learning with averaging. Funding: This work was supported by National Science Foundation [Grants CNS 23-12714, CCF 22-07547, and CNS 21-06801] and Air Force Office of Scientific Research [Grant FA9550-24-1-0002].