A Study To Predict Eid Al-Fitr Day In Oman Using Markov Chain Technique

Source abstract

A major Muslim festival in Oman is Eid al-Fitr, which is also known as Meethi Eid. It is a festival of breaking the fast and is celebrated across Oman on the first day of tenth month 'Shawwal' of the Islamic calendar (Drikpanchang). Ramzan began in the holy city of Medina after the migration of Mohammed Prophet from Mecca. He established that two holiest days for indulging in festivities have already been marked in the Quran by Almighty or Allah called Eid al-Adha and Edi al-Fitr, thus the tradition of celebrating Eid came into existence (Drikpanchang). Ramzan largely signifies the breaking of fast and beginning the new month on a sweet note. During Ramzan, Muslims abstain from all kind of wordly pleasure and strictly follow teaching of Allah sanctifying their souls of vices and other impurities. Many Muslims read the Quran during the month of Ramzan and strive to establish a connection with Allah, thus Eid al-Fitr quintessentially a day of revelry and merriment after strict observance and abstinence. Muslims embrace their fellow humans that symbolizes accepting and loving everyone of whatever social strata and class one belongs to (Drikpanchang). Oman's diversity will be on full display this Eid al-Fitr, as people across the Sultanate celebrate the biggest day of the year in their own traditional style. From prayer to special dishes and traditional dances, Eid in Oman differs from place to place, making every celebration unique. In this study, the authors have implemented the technique of Markov chain. The Markov chain paradigm states that future behaviour depends only on the present state and not on the past. This method is used to predict future behavior movements from those of the recent past. They predict the Eid al-Fitr day for the succeeding years from 2019 and also in the long run by applying the technique of Markov chain. In this section, the fundamental concepts involved in Markov chain are recalled, comparing with analysis or indicators regarding prediction of share market price by other methods. A stochastic model describing a sequence of possible events in which the probability of each event depends only on the