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Online Discrepancy of Sparse Random Vectors over Long Horizons

Nicola Wengiel

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Source: arXiv

Published: Oct 25, 2026

arXiv: 2610.34410

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Source abstract

We study online vector balancing for independent sparse random vectors: each arrival is supported on a uniformly random set of ss of the nn coordinates, with nonzero entries equal to one (binary model) or independent random signs (signed model), and an online algorithm must sign each vector upon arrival. The prefix discrepancy is the largest ℓ∞\ell_\infty-norm of the signed sums up to the horizon TT, the terminal discrepancy that of the sum at time TT. For binary inputs with 2≤s≤n/22\le s\le n/2 and T=Θ(n)T=Θ(n), Altschuler and Tikhomirov showed that both are of order s+log⁡log⁡n\sqrt{s}+\log\log n; they asked how the prefix discrepancy depends on the horizon and whether a matching terminal bound holds at every prescribed time. Over long horizons, the two differ. For every fixed s≥2s\ge2 and c>0c>0, every online algorithm, even a randomized one that knows the horizon, incurs with high probability prefix discrepancy Ω(log⁡log⁡n+(log⁡T/log⁡n)αs)Ω(\log\log n+(\log T/\log n)^{α_s}) for n≤T≤ecnn\le T\le e^{cn}, where αs=(2s−1−1)/(2s−1)α_s=(2^{s-1}-1)/(2^s-1). For s=2s=2, quadratic Greedy matches this bound; for fixed s≥3s\ge3, we give an online algorithm with prefix discrepancy O(log⁡log⁡n+(log⁡T/log⁡n)1/2)O(\log\log n+(\log T/\log n)^{1/2}). In contrast, a deterministic algorithm that knows neither the horizon nor the failure probability keeps the terminal discrepancy Ok(s+log⁡log⁡n)O_k(\sqrt{s}+\log\log n) at each prescribed time, with failure probability n−kn^{-k} for every fixed kk, for 2≤s≤n/22\le s\le n/2 (binary model) and 2≤s≤n2\le s\le n (signed model); for s=2s=2, quadratic Greedy itself does so. This answers their terminal question, and the same order is optimal for prefixes at all polynomial horizons T≥nT\ge n. The lower bound uses a finite safety game realized within the input law; the upper bounds use moments of elementary symmetric polynomials and, at terminal times, a cosh⁡\cosh potential or a translated gauge with a Foster inequality at every state.

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Online Discrepancy of Sparse Random Vectors over Long Horizons — Mathematical Frontier Network