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MA(1) processes with Laplace innovations conditioned to stay positive

Frank Aurzada, Virginia Worf

Source record

Source: arXiv

Published: Sep 8, 2026

arXiv: 2609.08794

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Source abstract

We study a moving-average process with (not necessarily symmetric) Laplace innovations under the constraint of positivity. In the three nondegenerate parameter regimes 010 1, and θ1θ 1, and the dynamics are genuinely two-sided and governed by qq-trigonometric functions for θ<0θ<0. In each case, the persistence exponent, sharp persistence asymptotics, the defining eigenfunction, and the unique invariant distribution are obtained explicitly.

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MA(1) processes with Laplace innovations conditioned to stay positive — Mathematical Frontier Network