Comparison of a Mathematical Model to Predict 10-km Performance From the Conconi Test and Ventilatory Threshold Measurements
Moira A. Petit, Carey M. Nelson, Edward C. Rhodes
Source abstract
The purpose of this study was to validate a mathematical model (MM) that evaluates the Conconi test and predicts 10-km race time. In addition, the relationship between ventilatory threshold (T vent ) determined from a laboratory test and heart rate deflection (HR d ) from the Conconi test were examined. Seventeen trained runners performed the Conconi test, and performance times were predicted using a MM based on a logistics function. A correlational analysis indicated a highly significant relationship (r = .98, p < .01) between MM predicted time and actual time. Significant relationships were found between velocity at T vent and HR d (r = .95, p < .01), and predicted times from each method (r = .96, p < .01). Heart rates from T vent and HR d were also related (r = .79, p < .01). These results suggest that a MM of the Conconi test is a valid method of predicting 10-km performance and is closely related to traditional laboratory measures. Key words: anaerobic threshold, field test, heart rate deflection
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