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Dynamics and optimal intervention strategies in a Shigellosis transmission model

Mehmet Gümüs, Shewafera Wondimagegnhu Teklu, Kemal Türk

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Published: Sep 30, 2025

DOI: 10.53391/2791-8564.1005

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Source abstract

This research explores how water treatment contributes to limiting the transmission of Shigellosis, an infection caused by bacteria from the Shigella genus. A mathematical framework is formulated to evaluate the influence of protective strategies and water purification on the spread of the disease. To confirm the model's biological relevance, its well-posedness is investigated. The basic reproduction number (R0)(\mathfrak{R}_0), a critical indicator of disease behavior, is derived using the matrix operator method. Findings indicate that if R01\mathfrak{R}_01, the infection persists, with the endemic equilibrium exhibiting local asymptotic stability. A comprehensive cost-effectiveness analysis reveals that combining environmental protection with water treatment represents the most economically efficient intervention strategy. Numerical simulations conducted in MATLAB confirm that water treatment significantly reduces Shigellosis transmission, reinforcing its effectiveness as a public health strategy.

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Dynamics and optimal intervention strategies in a Shigellosis transmission model — Mathematical Frontier Network