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Thresholds and spread in set systems of bounded VC-dimension

Chong Shangguan

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Source: arXiv

Published: Sep 24, 2026

arXiv: 2609.30263

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Source abstract

Let pc(F)p_c(\mathcal F), q(F)q(\mathcal F), and qf(F)q_f(\mathcal F) denote the threshold, expectation threshold, and fractional expectation threshold of a family F\mathcal F of nonempty subsets of a finite set, respectively. We prove that there is an absolute constant C>0C>0 such that, if F\mathcal F has VC dimension at most d≥1d\ge1, then pc(F)≤Cq(F)log⁡(d+1)p_c(\mathcal F)\le Cq(\mathcal F)\log(d+1). More generally, for every 0<ε≤1/20<\varepsilon\le1/2, a binomial random set of density min⁡{1,Cq(F)log⁡((d+1)/ε)}\min\{1,Cq(\mathcal F)\log((d+1)/\varepsilon)\} contains a member of F\mathcal F with probability at least 1−ε1-\varepsilon. Consequently, qf(F)≤Cq(F)log⁡(d+1)q_f(\mathcal F)\le Cq(\mathcal F)\log(d+1), verifying Talagrand's integral--fractional conjecture for families of any fixed VC dimension. We also prove that if a kk-spread probability measure has support of VC dimension at most dd, then a binomial random set of density min⁡{1,(C/k)log⁡((d+1)/ε)}\min\{1,(C/k)\log((d+1)/\varepsilon)\} contains a member of its support with probability at least 1−ε1-\varepsilon. In both random-containment results, the factor log⁡((d+1)/ε)\log((d+1)/\varepsilon) is optimal up to absolute constants. As an application of the spread theorem, we prove that every nn-uniform family of VC dimension at most dd with more than (Cp−1log⁡((d+1)/ε))n(C p^{-1}\log((d+1)/\varepsilon))^n members contains a (p,ε)(p,\varepsilon)-robust sunflower. In particular, every such family with more than (Crlog⁡(d+1))n(Cr\log(d+1))^n members contains an rr-sunflower, improving the recent bound (Crd)n(Crd)^n of Ge, Wang, Xu, and Zhao.

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Thresholds and spread in set systems of bounded VC-dimension — Mathematical Frontier Network