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Approximating Two-Terminal Network Reliability

Does two-terminal reliability, the probability that $s$ still reaches $t$ when edges fail independently, admit a fully polynomial-time randomised approximation scheme? Asked explicitly in Kannan's 1994 survey and left open while the all-terminal cases were settled by Karger and by Guo and Jerrum. Answered positively for general graphs, both directed and undirected. The complementary unreliability question is shown to be BIS-hard, so it is unlikely to admit one.

Exact FrontierDelta

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Occurred: Aug 3, 2026

Delta type: SOURCE CLAIM

Assumptions: VibeMathed verification: unreviewed. Publication: preprint. AI contribution: ai-co-developed. Imported under CC BY 4.0.

Canonical aliases: Approximating Two-Terminal Network Reliability · Two-terminal reliability

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Registry verification: unreviewed · preprint · resolved

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Attribution

VibeMathed
registry · event recorded by

Weiming Feng
human · human collaborator

Yucheng Fu
human · human collaborator

Heng Guo
human · human collaborator

GPT-5.6 Sol Ultra
model · ai model contributor · OpenAI

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This event attributed to Heng Guo

This event attributed to Yucheng Fu

This event attributed to Weiming Feng

This event attributed to GPT-5.6 Sol Ultra

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Approximating Two-Terminal Network Reliability — Mathematical Frontier Network