The Ibragimov–Iosifescu conjecture for φ-mixing sequences
Astra constructs a strictly stationary real process
Xt=ξt+K(ξt−1,ξt−2,…),
where the innovations ξt are i.i.d. Gaussian variables convolved with a symmetric rare-spike law, and K is bounded, continuous, and odd. The process is φ-mixing, centered, square-integrable, and satisfies
Var(Sn)→∞.
Nevertheless there are times nj→∞ such that
Var(Snj)Snj→0
in probability. Therefore the normalized sums cannot converge in distribution to N(0,1).
The same example also rules out Iosifescu's stronger weak invariance-principle conjecture, since Brownian convergence would imply the CLT at time 1.
Astra constructs a strictly stationary real process
Xt=ξt+K(ξt−1,ξt−2,…),
where the innovations ξt are i.i.d. Gaussian variables convolved with a symmetric rare-spike law, and K is bounded, continuous, and odd. The process is φ-mixing, centered, square-integrable, and satisfies
Var(Sn)→∞.
Nevertheless there are times nj→∞ such that…
Astra constructs a strictly stationary real process
Xt=ξt+K(ξt−1,ξt−2,…),
where the innovations ξt are i.i.d. Gaussian variables convolved with a symmetric rare-spike law, and K is bounded, continuous, and odd. The process is φ-mixing, centered, square-integrable, and satisfies
Var(Sn)→∞.
Nevertheless there are times nj→∞ such that
Var(Snj)Snj→0
in probability. Therefore the normalized sums cannot converge in distribution to N(0,1).
The same example also rules out Iosifescu's stronger weak invariance-principle conjecture, since Brownian convergence would imply the CLT at time 1.
Astra constructs a strictly stationary real process
Xt=ξt+K(ξt−1,ξt−2,…),
where the innovations ξt are i.i.d. Gaussian variables convolved with a symmetric rare-spike law, and K is bounded, continuous, and odd. The process is φ-mixing, centered, square-integrable, and satisfies
Var(Sn)→∞.
Nevertheless there are times nj→∞ such that
Var(Snj)Snj→0
in probability. Therefore the normalized sums cannot converge in distribution to N(0,1).
The same example also rules out Iosifescu's stronger weak invariance-principle conjecture, since Brownian convergence would imply the CLT at time 1.