probability-statistics / Information theory

The Weak Simplex Conjecture

Among $d+1$ equiprobable equal-energy signals in Gaussian noise, is the regular simplex optimal for average error probability? Yes. The underlying comparison is that for any $m \times m$ correlation matrix $R$ with $R - \mathbf{1}\mathbf{1}^{\mathsf T}/m \succeq 0$ and $X \sim \mathcal{N}(0,R)$, the maximum of the $X_i$ is stochastically dominated by the maximum of $m$ independent standard Gaussians.

20Significance / 100
1Frontier events
0Verification tasks
0Recorded attempts

Temporal state

Current frontier

No reconciled state yet.

Append-only history

Frontier timeline

probability-statisticsJul 15, 2026Significance 20/100Registry: unreviewed

The Weak Simplex Conjecture

Prior state unknownproved

Among $d+1$ equiprobable equal-energy signals in Gaussian noise, is the regular simplex optimal for average error probability? Yes. The underlying comparison is that for any $m \times m$ correlation matrix $R$ with $R - \mathbf{1}\mathbf{1}^{\mathsf T}/m \succeq 0$ and $X \sim \mathcal{N}(0,R)$, the maximum of the $X_i$ is stochastically dominated by the maximum of $m$ independent standard Gaussians.

SourceReplayReproducedFormal proofStatement auditExternal checkExpert reviewPeer review

Research memory

Claims and attempts

Scoped claims

Source authenticated

Among $d+1$ equiprobable equal-energy signals in Gaussian noise, is the regular simplex optimal for average error probability? Yes. The underlying comparison is that for any $m \times m$ correlation matrix $R$ with $R - \mathbf{1}\mathbf{1}^{\mathsf T}/m \succeq 0$ and $X \sim \mathcal{N}(0,R)$, the maximum of the $X_i$ is stochastically dominated by the maximum of $m$ independent standard Gaussians.

Recorded attempts

Evidence graph

Connected research record

No public relationships recorded yet.